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Why real estate can be incredibly lucrative in India — if you play it right

For NRIs considering where to allocate capital, the supply constraint in South Delhi — no new land, no new colonies — is the starting point. Permanently constrained supply is not the profile of a speculative market. It is the profile of a genuine store of value.

Author

Ashutosh Bhogra

Category

NRI

Read time

3 min read

Published

16 September 2024

For NRIs considering where to allocate capital, the comparison with other asset classes — equities, fixed deposits, foreign real estate — rarely accounts for what makes premium Indian real estate structurally different.

The supply constraint is the starting point. South Delhi is not merely a market with high demand. It is a market with permanently constrained supply. The colonies that matter — Greater Kailash, Panchsheel Park, Defence Colony, Gulmohar Park — were largely built out by the 1990s. There is no new land. There are no new colonies being formed. What exists is what exists, and the ownership of that land rests with families who have no compulsion to sell. This is not the profile of a speculative market. It is the profile of a genuine store of value.

The rupee depreciation factor is often overlooked. For an NRI earning in dollars, euros, or dirhams, the rupee’s long-term depreciation against hard currencies adds a return dimension that rupee-only analysis misses. A property that appreciates in rupee terms may deliver a considerably stronger return in hard currency terms over a decade, particularly after periods of currency movement. The reverse is also true: the cost of acquisition in hard currency terms is often more attractive than the nominal rupee price suggests.

A builder floor in South Delhi comes with a proportionate share in the land. This is fundamentally different from buying a flat in a high-rise, where you own the air space but not the earth beneath it. Land in a city with finite supply and growing demand is the underlying asset — and with builder floors, you hold it directly.

The mistakes that destroy returns in this market are predictable: overpaying for average locations, buying into title disputes, accepting partially documented transactions, and not accounting properly for stamp duty and carrying costs. Investors who understand the market — who buy in the right colonies, with clean title, at defensible prices, through proper channels — consistently outperform those who don’t.

For NRIs specifically, there is no restriction on purchase of residential property, repatriation is straightforward following tax compliance, and South Delhi offers one of India’s most stable residential markets. The opportunity exists. Whether it is lucrative depends entirely on the discipline applied to the acquisition.

Grey Beard Real Estate

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